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ENG Αγγλία - EFL Κύπελλο · Αγώνας ·

Τζίλιγχαμ vs Λούτον

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–22.71 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου22%
Ισοπαλία25%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου53%
Market-based forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier B · 53% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου53% selection probability
Projected score1–2ΤζίλιγχαμΛούτον
Expected goals2.71Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Άνω51% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Άνω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
22% / 25% / 53%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου53%1.89
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Τζίλιγχαμ win (22%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX278%1.28
Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%Goals 2.5Άνω51%1.96
Ναι 55% · Όχι 45%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΝαι55%1.82
2.71 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–2
9.7 expected match cornersΚόρνερΆνω 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.7%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimΚαμία
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Τζίλιγχαμ win22%4.554.5020.6%
Ισοπαλία25%4.003.7524.8%
Λούτον win53%1.891.7054.6%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Τζίλιγχαμ1.09

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 40.2%

Total expected goals2.71Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 51% · Κάτω 49%

Λούτον1.62

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 59.8%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitΝαι 55% · Όχι 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Τζίλιγχαμ

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες1Wins0Drawn1Losses0Πόντοι1

SignalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 1/1

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Λούτον

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες3Wins1Drawn0Losses2Πόντοι3

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος failed to score: 2/3

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
22%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
53%
1
Points from supplied form
3
1.09
Expected goals
1.62
ΤζίλιγχαμΛούτον
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Τζίλιγχαμ signalΓηπεδούχος unbeaten 1/1

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Λούτον signalΦιλοξενούμενος failed to score: 2/3

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk47% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Τζίλιγχαμ vs Λούτον FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–2 · 53% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Τζίλιγχαμ νίκη 22%,Ισοπαλία 25%,Λούτον νίκη 53%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.71 · Άνω 2.5 51% · Current selection Άνω