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CHN China Division 2 · Αγώνας ·

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Hubei Istar

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–11.97 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου43%
Ισοπαλία29%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου28%
Full model forecastΝίκη γηπεδούχουTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη γηπεδούχου43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Chengdu Rongcheng ReservesHubei Istar
Expected goals1.97Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω68% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
43% / 29% / 28%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη γηπεδούχου43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hubei Istar win (28%)Διπλή Ευκαιρία1X72%1.39
Άνω 32% · Κάτω 68%Goals 2.5Κάτω68%1.47
Ναι 40% · Όχι 60%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι60%1.67
1.97 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
8.5 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapChengdu Rongcheng Reserves winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomeΠρόβλεψηΔίκαιη απόδοσηReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Ισοπαλία29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Hubei Istar win28%3.573.3027.2%+0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves0.92

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 46.7%

Total expected goals1.97Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 32% · Κάτω 68%

Hubei Istar1.05

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 53.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 40% · Όχι 60%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves

1.00pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Πόντοι5

SignalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Hubei Istar

1.20pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Πόντοι6

SignalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
28%
5
Points from supplied form
6
0.92
Expected goals
1.05
Chengdu Rongcheng ReservesHubei Istar
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves signalΓηπεδούχος matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hubei Istar signalΓηπεδούχος failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves vs Hubei Istar FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη γηπεδούχου · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves νίκη 43%,Ισοπαλία 29%,Hubei Istar νίκη 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.97 · Άνω 2.5 32% · Current selection Κάτω