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IRL Ιρλανδία - Πρώτη Κατηγορία · Αγώνας ·

Άθλον Τάουν vs Λόνγκφορντ Τάουν

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Γηπεδούχος form
Projected score1–12.13 expected goals
Φιλοξενούμενος form
Νίκη γηπεδούχου30%
Ισοπαλία31%
Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου39%
Full model forecastΝίκη φιλοξενούμενουTier A · 39% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Άθλον ΤάουνΛόνγκφορντ Τάουν
Expected goals2.13Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Κάτω64% for the selected side
Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι57% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Κάτω 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketΕπιλογήΠιθανότηταΔίκαιη απόδοση
30% / 31% / 39%Αποτέλεσμα αγώναΝίκη φιλοξενούμενου39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Άθλον Τάουν win (29.8%)Διπλή ΕυκαιρίαX270.2%1.42
Άνω 36% · Κάτω 64%Goals 2.5Κάτω64%1.56
Ναι 43% · Όχι 57%Σκοράρουν και οι δύοΌχι57%1.75
2.13 total expected goalsΑκριβές σκορ1–1
9.1 expected match cornersΚόρνερΚάτω 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Όχι snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityΔίκαιη απόδοση
Άθλον Τάουν win30%3.33
Ισοπαλία31%3.23
Λόνγκφορντ Τάουν win39%2.56

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Άθλον Τάουν0.93

Γηπεδούχος share of expected goals 43.7%

Total expected goals2.13Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Άνω 36% · Κάτω 64%

Λόνγκφορντ Τάουν1.20

Φιλοξενούμενος share of expected goals 56.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitΝαι 43% · Όχι 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Γηπεδούχος-context · form sequence

Άθλον Τάουν

0.80pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Πόντοι4

SignalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

Φιλοξενούμενος-context · form sequence

Λόνγκφορντ Τάουν

2.40pts / match
Αγώνες5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Πόντοι12

SignalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
30%
Νίκη probability excluding draw
39%
4
Points from supplied form
12
0.93
Expected goals
1.20
Άθλον ΤάουνΛόνγκφορντ Τάουν
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Άθλον Τάουν signalΓηπεδούχος clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Λόνγκφορντ Τάουν signalΦιλοξενούμενος unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Ισοπαλία probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Άθλον Τάουν vs Λόνγκφορντ Τάουν FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Νίκη φιλοξενούμενου · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Άθλον Τάουν νίκη 30%,Ισοπαλία 31%,Λόνγκφορντ Τάουν νίκη 39%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.13 · Άνω 2.5 36% · Current selection Κάτω