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BEL Belgien - 1. Amateurdivision · Spiel ·

Tubize vs Charleroi II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.91 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg63%
Unentschieden20%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg63% selection probability
Projected score2–1TubizeCharleroi II
Expected goals2.91Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein53% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
63% / 20% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Charleroi II win (17.4%)Doppelte Chance1X82.6%1.21
Über 55% · Unter 45%Goals 2.5Über55%1.82
Ja 47% · Nein 53%Beide Teams treffenNein53%1.89
2.91 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapTubize winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tubize win63%1.591.4562%+1.0 pp
Unentschieden20%5.004.5020%0.0 pp
Charleroi II win17%5.885.0018%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tubize2.15

Heim share of expected goals 73.9%

Total expected goals2.91Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 55% · Unter 45%

Charleroi II0.76

Auswärts share of expected goals 26.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 47% · Nein 53%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Tubize

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Charleroi II

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
10
Points from supplied form
9
2.15
Expected goals
0.76
TubizeCharleroi II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tubize signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Charleroi II signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Tubize vs Charleroi II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tubize Gewinn 63%,Unentschieden 20%,Charleroi II Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.91 · Über 2.5 55% · Current selection Über