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INT Argentinien - Liga Profesional - Reserve · Final ·

Gimnasia LP - Reserve vs Sarmiento - Reserve

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score0–2Prognose 1–0
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg29%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Prediction Verloren
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–0Gimnasia LP - ReserveSarmiento - Reserve
Expected goals1.93Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter70% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein71% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 29% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sarmiento - Reserve win (29.1%)Doppelte Chance1X70.9%1.41
Über 30% · Unter 70%Goals 2.5Unter70%1.43
Ja 29% · Nein 71%Beide Teams treffenNein71%1.41
1.93 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–0
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapSarmiento - Reserve winDifference-2.2 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Gimnasia LP - Reserve win42%2.382.2539.9%+2.1 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.1029%0.0 pp
Sarmiento - Reserve win29%3.452.8831.2%-2.2 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gimnasia LP - Reserve1.47

Heim share of expected goals 76.2%

Total expected goals1.93Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 30% · Unter 70%

Sarmiento - Reserve0.46

Auswärts share of expected goals 23.8%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 29% · Nein 71%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Gimnasia LP - Reserve

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Sarmiento - Reserve

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
6
Points from supplied form
9
1.47
Expected goals
0.46
Gimnasia LP - ReserveSarmiento - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gimnasia LP - Reserve signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sarmiento - Reserve signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Gimnasia LP - Reserve vs Sarmiento - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–0 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gimnasia LP - Reserve Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 29%,Sarmiento - Reserve Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.93 · Über 2.5 30% · Current selection Unter