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BEL Belgien - 1. Division A · Spiel ·

Gent vs FC Brügge

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–23.06 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg24%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg50%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg50% selection probability
Projected score1–2GentFC Brügge
Expected goals3.06Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über59% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa57% for the selected side
Expected corners10.7Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
24% / 26% / 50%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gent win (23.8%)Doppelte ChanceX276.2%1.31
Über 59% · Unter 41%Goals 2.5Über59%1.69
Ja 57% · Nein 43%Beide Teams treffenJa57%1.75
3.06 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
10.7 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Gent win24%4.17
Unentschieden26%3.85
FC Brügge win50%2.00

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Gent1.07

Heim share of expected goals 35%

Total expected goals3.06Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 59% · Unter 41%

FC Brügge1.99

Auswärts share of expected goals 65%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 57% · Nein 43%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Gent

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Brügge

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
24%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
50%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.07
Expected goals
1.99
GentFC Brügge
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Gent signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Brügge signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Gent vs FC Brügge FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Gent Gewinn 24%,Unentschieden 26%,FC Brügge Gewinn 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.06 · Über 2.5 59% · Current selection Über