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URY Uruguay - Reserveliga · Spiel ·

Deportivo Maldonado - Reserve vs Colón FC - Reserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.31 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg54%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg21%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 54% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg54% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportivo Maldonado - ReserveColón FC - Reserve
Expected goals3.31Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über64% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa63% for the selected side
Expected corners9.4Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
54% / 25% / 21%SpielergebnisHeimsieg54%1.85
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Colón FC - Reserve win (20.9%)Doppelte Chance1X79.1%1.26
Über 64% · Unter 36%Goals 2.5Über64%1.56
Ja 63% · Nein 37%Beide Teams treffenJa63%1.59
3.31 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.4 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Deportivo Maldonado - Reserve win54%1.851.6753.7%+0.3 pp
Unentschieden25%4.003.5025.6%-0.6 pp
Colón FC - Reserve win21%4.764.3320.7%+0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportivo Maldonado - Reserve2.01

Heim share of expected goals 60.7%

Total expected goals3.31Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 64% · Unter 36%

Colón FC - Reserve1.30

Auswärts share of expected goals 39.3%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 63% · Nein 37%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Deportivo Maldonado - Reserve

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Colón FC - Reserve

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
54%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
21%
6
Points from supplied form
9
2.01
Expected goals
1.30
Deportivo Maldonado - ReserveColón FC - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportivo Maldonado - Reserve signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Colón FC - Reserve signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk46% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Deportivo Maldonado - Reserve vs Colón FC - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 54% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportivo Maldonado - Reserve Gewinn 54%,Unentschieden 25%,Colón FC - Reserve Gewinn 21%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.31 · Über 2.5 64% · Current selection Über