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GTM Guatemala Primera Division · Spiel ·

CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Mictlán

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.29 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg27%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score2–1CS Deportivo SacachispasMictlán
Expected goals2.29Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 30% / 27%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Mictlán win (27.4%)Doppelte Chance1X72.6%1.38
Über 40% · Unter 60%Goals 2.5Unter60%1.67
Ja 39% · Nein 61%Beide Teams treffenNein61%1.64
2.29 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin12.1%Largest probability gapMictlán winDifference-1.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
CS Deportivo Sacachispas win43%2.332.1541.5%+1.5 pp
Unentschieden30%3.333.0029.7%+0.3 pp
Mictlán win27%3.703.1028.8%-1.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

CS Deportivo Sacachispas1.63

Heim share of expected goals 71.2%

Total expected goals2.29Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 40% · Unter 60%

Mictlán0.66

Auswärts share of expected goals 28.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nein 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

CS Deportivo Sacachispas

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Mictlán

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
27%
9
Points from supplied form
5
1.63
Expected goals
0.66
CS Deportivo SacachispasMictlán
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01CS Deportivo Sacachispas signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Mictlán signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

CS Deportivo Sacachispas vs Mictlán FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

CS Deportivo Sacachispas Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 30%,Mictlán Gewinn 27%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.29 · Über 2.5 40% · Current selection Unter