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ENG England - Northern League - Div One · Spiel ·

Barwell vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg47%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg29%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 47% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg47% selection probability
Projected score2–1BarwellAFC Rushden & Diamonds
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.0Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
47% / 24% / 29%SpielergebnisHeimsieg47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.7%)Doppelte Chance1276.3%1.31
Über 56% · Unter 44%Goals 2.5Über56%1.79
Ja 58% · Nein 42%Beide Teams treffenJa58%1.72
2.93 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.0 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.2%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Barwell win47%2.131.9047.3%
Unentschieden24%4.173.8023.7%
AFC Rushden & Diamonds win29%3.453.1029%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barwell1.65

Heim share of expected goals 56.3%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 56% · Unter 44%

AFC Rushden & Diamonds1.28

Auswärts share of expected goals 43.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nein 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Barwell

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

AFC Rushden & Diamonds

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
29%
3
Points from supplied form
4
1.65
Expected goals
1.28
BarwellAFC Rushden & Diamonds
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barwell signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02AFC Rushden & Diamonds signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Barwell vs AFC Rushden & Diamonds FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barwell Gewinn 47%,Unentschieden 24%,AFC Rushden & Diamonds Gewinn 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Über 2.5 56% · Current selection Über