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MWI Malawi Super League · Spiel ·

Ekhaya FC vs Dedza Dynamos

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–01.92 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg59%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg14%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg59% selection probability
Projected score1–0Ekhaya FCDedza Dynamos
Expected goals1.92Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter70% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
59% / 27% / 14%SpielergebnisHeimsieg59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Dedza Dynamos win (14%)Doppelte Chance1X86%1.16
Über 30% · Unter 70%Goals 2.5Unter70%1.43
Ja 28% · Nein 72%Beide Teams treffenNein72%1.39
1.92 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–0
8.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.7%Largest probability gapEkhaya FC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Ekhaya FC win59%1.691.5358.5%+0.5 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.3027.1%-0.1 pp
Dedza Dynamos win14%7.146.2514.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Ekhaya FC1.47

Heim share of expected goals 76.6%

Total expected goals1.92Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 30% · Unter 70%

Dedza Dynamos0.45

Auswärts share of expected goals 23.4%

Projected score1–0BTTS splitJa 28% · Nein 72%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Ekhaya FC

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Dedza Dynamos

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
14%
6
Points from supplied form
7
1.47
Expected goals
0.45
Ekhaya FCDedza Dynamos
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Ekhaya FC signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Dedza Dynamos signalHeim matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Ekhaya FC vs Dedza Dynamos FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–0 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Ekhaya FC Gewinn 59%,Unentschieden 27%,Dedza Dynamos Gewinn 14%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.92 · Über 2.5 30% · Current selection Unter