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LTU Litauen - II Lyga · Spiel ·

FK Sveikata vs Vilnius Football Academy

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.74 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg34%
Unentschieden24%
Auswärtssieg42%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 42% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg42% selection probability
Projected score2–2FK SveikataVilnius Football Academy
Expected goals3.74Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über72% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa71% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
34% / 24% / 42%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (23.8%)Doppelte Chance1276.2%1.31
Über 72% · Unter 28%Goals 2.5Über72%1.39
Ja 71% · Nein 29%Beide Teams treffenJa71%1.41
3.74 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapVilnius Football Academy winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FK Sveikata win34%2.942.7033.3%+0.7 pp
Unentschieden24%4.173.7524%0.0 pp
Vilnius Football Academy win42%2.382.1042.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FK Sveikata2.13

Heim share of expected goals 57%

Total expected goals3.74Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 72% · Unter 28%

Vilnius Football Academy1.61

Auswärts share of expected goals 43%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 71% · Nein 29%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FK Sveikata

2.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Punkte11

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Vilnius Football Academy

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
34%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
42%
11
Points from supplied form
8
2.13
Expected goals
1.61
FK SveikataVilnius Football Academy
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans AWAY; raw model leaned HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FK Sveikata signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Vilnius Football Academy signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

FK Sveikata vs Vilnius Football Academy FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 2–2 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FK Sveikata Gewinn 34%,Unentschieden 24%,Vilnius Football Academy Gewinn 42%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.74 · Über 2.5 72% · Current selection Über