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DEU Deutschland - Regionalliga Nordost · Spiel ·

FC Lok Leipzig vs Hertha BSC II

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.64 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg62%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg17%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 62% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg62% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC Lok LeipzigHertha BSC II
Expected goals2.64Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter50% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa51% for the selected side
Expected corners0.0Nein corner projection
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
62% / 21% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg62%1.61
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Hertha BSC II win (16.8%)Doppelte Chance1X83.2%1.20
Über 50% · Unter 50%Goals 2.5Unter50%2.00
Ja 51% · Nein 49%Beide Teams treffenJa51%1.96
2.64 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
0.0 expected match cornersEckenNein corner projection
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Lok Leipzig win62%1.611.4063.8%
Unentschieden21%4.764.3320.6%
Hertha BSC II win17%5.885.7515.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Lok Leipzig1.72

Heim share of expected goals 65.2%

Total expected goals2.64Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 50% · Unter 50%

Hertha BSC II0.92

Auswärts share of expected goals 34.8%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 51% · Nein 49%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Lok Leipzig

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Hertha BSC II

3.00pts / match
Gespielt1Wins1Drawn0Losses0Punkte3

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
62%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
5
Points from supplied form
3
1.72
Expected goals
0.92
FC Lok LeipzigHertha BSC II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Lok Leipzig signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hertha BSC II signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk38% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

FC Lok Leipzig vs Hertha BSC II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 62% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Lok Leipzig Gewinn 62%,Unentschieden 21%,Hertha BSC II Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.64 · Über 2.5 50% · Current selection Unter