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INT Elite Club Friendlies · Spiel ·

FC Augsburg vs Sassuolo

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg31%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 43% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score2–1FC AugsburgSassuolo
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über56% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa60% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 26% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.2%)Doppelte Chance1273.8%1.36
Über 56% · Unter 44%Goals 2.5Über56%1.79
Ja 60% · Nein 40%Beide Teams treffenJa60%1.67
2.93 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.5%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Augsburg win43%2.332.1042.7%
Unentschieden26%3.853.4026.4%
Sassuolo win31%3.232.9030.9%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Augsburg1.58

Heim share of expected goals 53.9%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 56% · Unter 44%

Sassuolo1.35

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.1%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 60% · Nein 40%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Augsburg

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Sassuolo

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalAuswärts clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
3
Points from supplied form
7
1.58
Expected goals
1.35
FC AugsburgSassuolo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Augsburg signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sassuolo signalAuswärts clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

FC Augsburg vs Sassuolo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Augsburg Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 26%,Sassuolo Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Über 2.5 56% · Current selection Über