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JPN Japan - J3-League · Round 1 ·

Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.69 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg41%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg32%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg41% selection probability
Projected score1–1SagamiharaRoasso Kumamoto
Expected goals2.69Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über50% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners9.9Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
41% / 28% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (27.6%)Doppelte Chance1272.4%1.38
Über 50% · Unter 50%Goals 2.5Über50%2.00
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
2.69 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.9 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin12.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sagamihara win41%2.442.2040.4%
Unentschieden28%3.573.2027.8%
Roasso Kumamoto win32%3.132.8031.8%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sagamihara1.44

Heim share of expected goals 53.5%

Total expected goals2.69Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 50% · Unter 50%

Roasso Kumamoto1.25

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sagamihara

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Roasso Kumamoto

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
7
Points from supplied form
2
1.44
Expected goals
1.25
SagamiharaRoasso Kumamoto
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sagamihara signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Roasso Kumamoto signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Sagamihara vs Roasso Kumamoto FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sagamihara Gewinn 41%,Unentschieden 28%,Roasso Kumamoto Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.69 · Über 2.5 50% · Current selection Über