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ARG Argentina Torneo A · Spiel ·

Tucumán Central vs Club Atlético El Linqueño

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.81 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg43%
Unentschieden32%
Auswärtssieg26%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 43% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg43% selection probability
Projected score1–1Tucumán CentralClub Atlético El Linqueño
Expected goals1.81Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter73% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.9Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
43% / 32% / 26%SpielergebnisHeimsieg43%2.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Club Atlético El Linqueño win (25.7%)Doppelte Chance1X74.3%1.35
Über 27% · Unter 73%Goals 2.5Unter73%1.37
Ja 36% · Nein 64%Beide Teams treffenNein64%1.56
1.81 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.9 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapClub Atlético El Linqueño winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Tucumán Central win43%2.332.0543.8%-0.8 pp
Unentschieden32%3.132.8831.2%+0.8 pp
Club Atlético El Linqueño win26%3.853.6025%+1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Tucumán Central0.88

Heim share of expected goals 48.6%

Total expected goals1.81Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 27% · Unter 73%

Club Atlético El Linqueño0.93

Auswärts share of expected goals 51.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 36% · Nein 64%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Tucumán Central

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Club Atlético El Linqueño

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
43%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
26%
1
Points from supplied form
10
0.88
Expected goals
0.93
Tucumán CentralClub Atlético El Linqueño
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Tucumán Central signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Club Atlético El Linqueño signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk57% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Tucumán Central vs Club Atlético El Linqueño FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 43% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Tucumán Central Gewinn 43%,Unentschieden 32%,Club Atlético El Linqueño Gewinn 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.81 · Über 2.5 27% · Current selection Unter