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AUS Australien - Darwin Premier League · Round 23 ·

Hellenic AC vs Casuarina FC

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.85 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg47%
Unentschieden21%
Auswärtssieg33%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 47% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg47% selection probability
Projected score2–2Hellenic ACCasuarina FC
Expected goals3.85Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über74% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa72% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
47% / 21% / 33%SpielergebnisHeimsieg47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (20.8%)Doppelte Chance1279.2%1.26
Über 74% · Unter 26%Goals 2.5Über74%1.35
Ja 72% · Nein 28%Beide Teams treffenJa72%1.39
3.85 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Hellenic AC win47%2.13
Unentschieden21%4.76
Casuarina FC win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Hellenic AC2.11

Heim share of expected goals 54.8%

Total expected goals3.85Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 74% · Unter 26%

Casuarina FC1.74

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 72% · Nein 28%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Hellenic AC

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Casuarina FC

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
1
2.11
Expected goals
1.74
Hellenic ACCasuarina FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Hellenic AC signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Casuarina FC signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Hellenic AC vs Casuarina FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Hellenic AC Gewinn 47%,Unentschieden 21%,Casuarina FC Gewinn 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.85 · Über 2.5 74% · Current selection Über