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NOR Norwegen - 1. Division · Round 14 ·

Stabæk vs Ranheim

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–14.52 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg70%
Unentschieden14%
Auswärtssieg15%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 70% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg70% selection probability
Projected score3–1StabækRanheim
Expected goals4.52Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über83% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa72% for the selected side
Expected corners11.6Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
70% / 14% / 15%SpielergebnisHeimsieg70%1.43
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (14.4%)Doppelte Chance1285.6%1.17
Über 83% · Unter 17%Goals 2.5Über83%1.20
Ja 72% · Nein 28%Beide Teams treffenJa72%1.39
4.52 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
11.6 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin7.2%Largest probability gapRanheim winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Stabæk win70%1.431.3370.1%-0.1 pp
Unentschieden14%7.146.5014.3%-0.3 pp
Ranheim win15%6.676.0015.5%-0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Stabæk3.13

Heim share of expected goals 69.2%

Total expected goals4.52Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 83% · Unter 17%

Ranheim1.39

Auswärts share of expected goals 30.8%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 72% · Nein 28%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Stabæk

3.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Punkte15

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Ranheim

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
70%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
15%
15
Points from supplied form
3
3.13
Expected goals
1.39
StabækRanheim
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Stabæk signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Ranheim signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk30% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 14%.

Match questions

Stabæk vs Ranheim FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 70% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Stabæk Gewinn 70%,Unentschieden 14%,Ranheim Gewinn 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.52 · Über 2.5 83% · Current selection Über