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AUT Österreich - 2. Liga · Spiel ·

SW Bregenz vs SK Sturm Graz II

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.42 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg41%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg33%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg41% selection probability
Projected score2–2SW BregenzSK Sturm Graz II
Expected goals3.42Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über66% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa67% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
41% / 26% / 33%SpielergebnisHeimsieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26%)Doppelte Chance1274%1.35
Über 66% · Unter 34%Goals 2.5Über66%1.52
Ja 67% · Nein 33%Beide Teams treffenJa67%1.49
3.42 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
9.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
SW Bregenz win41%2.44
Unentschieden26%3.85
SK Sturm Graz II win33%3.03

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SW Bregenz1.84

Heim share of expected goals 53.8%

Total expected goals3.42Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 66% · Unter 34%

SK Sturm Graz II1.58

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.2%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 67% · Nein 33%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

SW Bregenz

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz II

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
33%
8
Points from supplied form
3
1.84
Expected goals
1.58
SW BregenzSK Sturm Graz II
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SW Bregenz signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SK Sturm Graz II signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

SW Bregenz vs SK Sturm Graz II FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SW Bregenz Gewinn 41%,Unentschieden 26%,SK Sturm Graz II Gewinn 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.42 · Über 2.5 66% · Current selection Über