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DEU Deutschland - 2. Bundesliga · Round 1 ·

VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg41%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg32%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 41% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg41% selection probability
Projected score1–1VfL BochumHertha BSC
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
41% / 27% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.8%)Doppelte Chance1273.2%1.37
Über 47% · Unter 53%Goals 2.5Unter53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.57 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.5%Largest probability gapHertha BSC winDifference-0.4 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
VfL Bochum win41%2.442.3040.8%+0.2 pp
Unentschieden27%3.703.5026.8%+0.2 pp
Hertha BSC win32%3.132.9032.4%-0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

VfL Bochum1.47

Heim share of expected goals 57.2%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 47% · Unter 53%

Hertha BSC1.10

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

VfL Bochum

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn3Losses0Punkte9

SignalHeim unbeaten 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Hertha BSC

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
9
Points from supplied form
12
1.47
Expected goals
1.10
VfL BochumHertha BSC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01VfL Bochum signalHeim unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Hertha BSC signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

VfL Bochum vs Hertha BSC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

VfL Bochum Gewinn 41%,Unentschieden 27%,Hertha BSC Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Über 2.5 47% · Current selection Unter