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MEX Mexico Liga MX · Spiel ·

Pachuca vs Puebla

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.77 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg45%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg30%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 45% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg45% selection probability
Projected score2–1PachucaPuebla
Expected goals2.77Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über52% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.1Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
45% / 25% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Doppelte Chance1274.9%1.34
Über 52% · Unter 48%Goals 2.5Über52%1.92
Ja 55% · Nein 45%Beide Teams treffenJa55%1.82
2.77 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.1 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Pachuca win45%2.22
Unentschieden25%4.00
Puebla win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Pachuca1.55

Heim share of expected goals 56%

Total expected goals2.77Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 52% · Unter 48%

Puebla1.22

Auswärts share of expected goals 44%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nein 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Pachuca

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn0Losses3Punkte6

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Puebla

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
6
Points from supplied form
4
1.55
Expected goals
1.22
PachucaPuebla
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Pachuca signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Puebla signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Pachuca vs Puebla FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Pachuca Gewinn 45%,Unentschieden 25%,Puebla Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.77 · Über 2.5 52% · Current selection Über