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AUT Austria Bundesliga · Spiel ·

Grazer AK vs SC Austria Lustenau

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.65 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg42%
Unentschieden26%
Auswärtssieg32%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 42% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg42% selection probability
Projected score1–1Grazer AKSC Austria Lustenau
Expected goals2.65Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
42% / 26% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg42%2.38
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.9%)Doppelte Chance1274.1%1.35
Über 49% · Unter 51%Goals 2.5Unter51%1.96
Ja 54% · Nein 46%Beide Teams treffenJa54%1.85
2.65 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Grazer AK win42%2.38
Unentschieden26%3.85
SC Austria Lustenau win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Grazer AK1.44

Heim share of expected goals 54.3%

Total expected goals2.65Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 49% · Unter 51%

SC Austria Lustenau1.21

Auswärts share of expected goals 45.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 54% · Nein 46%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Grazer AK

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

SC Austria Lustenau

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
42%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
4
Points from supplied form
6
1.44
Expected goals
1.21
Grazer AKSC Austria Lustenau
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Grazer AK signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02SC Austria Lustenau signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk58% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Grazer AK vs SC Austria Lustenau FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 42% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Grazer AK Gewinn 42%,Unentschieden 26%,SC Austria Lustenau Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.65 · Über 2.5 49% · Current selection Unter