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POL Poland I Liga · Spiel ·

Unia Skierniewice vs Arka Gdynia

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.88 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg41%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg34%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 41% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg41% selection probability
Projected score2–1Unia SkierniewiceArka Gdynia
Expected goals2.88Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über55% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners11.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
41% / 25% / 34%SpielergebnisHeimsieg41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.8%)Doppelte Chance1275.2%1.33
Über 55% · Unter 45%Goals 2.5Über55%1.82
Ja 58% · Nein 42%Beide Teams treffenJa58%1.72
2.88 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
11.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Unia Skierniewice win41%2.44
Unentschieden25%4.00
Arka Gdynia win34%2.94

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Unia Skierniewice1.52

Heim share of expected goals 52.8%

Total expected goals2.88Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 55% · Unter 45%

Arka Gdynia1.36

Auswärts share of expected goals 47.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nein 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Unia Skierniewice

0.00pts / match
Gespielt2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Punkte0

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 2/2

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Arka Gdynia

3.00pts / match
Gespielt2Wins2Drawn0Losses0Punkte6

SignalAuswärts clean sheets: 2/2

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
34%
0
Points from supplied form
6
1.52
Expected goals
1.36
Unia SkierniewiceArka Gdynia
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Unia Skierniewice signalAuswärts unbeaten 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Arka Gdynia signalAuswärts clean sheets: 2/2

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Unia Skierniewice vs Arka Gdynia FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Unia Skierniewice Gewinn 41%,Unentschieden 25%,Arka Gdynia Gewinn 34%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.88 · Über 2.5 55% · Current selection Über