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ENG England - EFL Cup · Spiel ·

Wolverhampton vs Port Vale

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.78 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg73%
Unentschieden15%
Auswärtssieg12%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 73% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg73% selection probability
Projected score2–1WolverhamptonPort Vale
Expected goals2.78Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
73% / 15% / 12%SpielergebnisHeimsieg73%1.37
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Port Vale win (12.2%)Doppelte Chance1X87.8%1.14
Über 54% · Unter 46%Goals 2.5Über54%1.85
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.78 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin7.4%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Wolverhampton win73%1.371.2276.3%
Unentschieden15%6.677.0013.3%
Port Vale win12%8.339.0010.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Wolverhampton1.90

Heim share of expected goals 68.3%

Total expected goals2.78Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 54% · Unter 46%

Port Vale0.88

Auswärts share of expected goals 31.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Wolverhampton

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Port Vale

2.25pts / match
Gespielt4Wins3Drawn0Losses1Punkte9

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
73%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
12%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.90
Expected goals
0.88
WolverhamptonPort Vale
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Wolverhampton signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Port Vale signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk27% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 15%.

Match questions

Wolverhampton vs Port Vale FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 73% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Wolverhampton Gewinn 73%,Unentschieden 15%,Port Vale Gewinn 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.78 · Über 2.5 54% · Current selection Über