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POL Polen - 3. Liga · Spiel ·

KKS Kalisz vs Unia Swarzedz

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.21 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg49%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg26%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 49% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg49% selection probability
Projected score2–1KKS KaliszUnia Swarzedz
Expected goals3.21Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
49% / 25% / 26%SpielergebnisHeimsieg49%2.04
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.7%)Doppelte Chance1275.3%1.33
Über 62% · Unter 38%Goals 2.5Über62%1.61
Ja 64% · Nein 36%Beide Teams treffenJa64%1.56
3.21 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.2 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
KKS Kalisz win49%2.041.8049.6%
Unentschieden25%4.003.6024.8%
Unia Swarzedz win26%3.853.5025.5%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

KKS Kalisz1.85

Heim share of expected goals 57.6%

Total expected goals3.21Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 62% · Unter 38%

Unia Swarzedz1.36

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nein 36%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

KKS Kalisz

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Unia Swarzedz

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
49%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
26%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.85
Expected goals
1.36
KKS KaliszUnia Swarzedz
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01KKS Kalisz signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Unia Swarzedz signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk51% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

KKS Kalisz vs Unia Swarzedz FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 49% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

KKS Kalisz Gewinn 49%,Unentschieden 25%,Unia Swarzedz Gewinn 26%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.21 · Über 2.5 62% · Current selection Über