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ISL Island - 1. Deild · Round 17 ·

Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Throttur Reykjavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.65 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg28%
Unentschieden22%
Auswärtssieg50%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg50% selection probability
Projected score2–2Grotta SeltjarnarnesThrottur Reykjavik
Expected goals3.65Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über71% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners12.5Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
28% / 22% / 50%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Doppelte Chance1277.6%1.29
Über 71% · Unter 29%Goals 2.5Über71%1.41
Ja 70% · Nein 30%Beide Teams treffenJa70%1.43
3.65 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
12.5 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Grotta Seltjarnarnes win28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp
Unentschieden22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Throttur Reykjavik win50%2.001.8049.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Grotta Seltjarnarnes1.68

Heim share of expected goals 46%

Total expected goals3.65Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 71% · Unter 29%

Throttur Reykjavik1.97

Auswärts share of expected goals 54%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nein 30%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Grotta Seltjarnarnes

2.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Punkte12

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Throttur Reykjavik

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
50%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.68
Expected goals
1.97
Grotta SeltjarnarnesThrottur Reykjavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Grotta Seltjarnarnes signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Throttur Reykjavik signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Throttur Reykjavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Grotta Seltjarnarnes Gewinn 28%,Unentschieden 22%,Throttur Reykjavik Gewinn 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Über 2.5 71% · Current selection Über