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INT UEFA Women's Europa Cup - Qualifikation · Spiel ·

SK Sturm Graz (F) vs Gintra Universitetas (F)

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.93 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg74%
Unentschieden16%
Auswärtssieg10%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 74% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg74% selection probability
Projected score2–1SK Sturm Graz (F)Gintra Universitetas (F)
Expected goals2.93Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über57% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.6Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
74% / 16% / 10%SpielergebnisHeimsieg74%1.35
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gintra Universitetas (F) win (10.2%)Doppelte Chance1X89.8%1.11
Über 57% · Unter 43%Goals 2.5Über57%1.75
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.93 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.6 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin9.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
SK Sturm Graz (F) win74%1.351.2076.2%
Unentschieden16%6.256.2514.6%
Gintra Universitetas (F) win10%10.0010.009.1%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

SK Sturm Graz (F)2.09

Heim share of expected goals 71.3%

Total expected goals2.93Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 57% · Unter 43%

Gintra Universitetas (F)0.84

Auswärts share of expected goals 28.7%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

SK Sturm Graz (F)

0.00pts / match
Gespielt2Wins0Drawn0Losses2Punkte0

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/2

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Gintra Universitetas (F)

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalAuswärts won 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
74%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
10%
0
Points from supplied form
9
2.09
Expected goals
0.84
SK Sturm Graz (F)Gintra Universitetas (F)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01SK Sturm Graz (F) signalHeim failed to score: 2/2

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gintra Universitetas (F) signalAuswärts won 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk26% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 16%.

Match questions

SK Sturm Graz (F) vs Gintra Universitetas (F) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 74% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

SK Sturm Graz (F) Gewinn 74%,Unentschieden 16%,Gintra Universitetas (F) Gewinn 10%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.93 · Über 2.5 57% · Current selection Über