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NLD Niederlande - Eredivisie · Spiel ·

FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.34 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg35%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg35%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 35% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg35% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC GroningenFC Utrecht
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter58% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners10.6Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
35% / 30% / 35%SpielergebnisHeimsieg35%2.86
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (30.4%)Doppelte Chance1269.6%1.44
Über 42% · Unter 58%Goals 2.5Unter58%1.72
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
10.6 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
FC Groningen win35%2.86
Unentschieden30%3.33
FC Utrecht win35%2.86

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Groningen1.17

Heim share of expected goals 50%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 42% · Unter 58%

FC Utrecht1.17

Auswärts share of expected goals 50%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

FC Groningen

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

FC Utrecht

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
35%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
35%
7
Points from supplied form
7
1.17
Expected goals
1.17
FC GroningenFC Utrecht
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Groningen signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02FC Utrecht signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk65% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

FC Groningen vs FC Utrecht FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 35% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Groningen Gewinn 35%,Unentschieden 30%,FC Utrecht Gewinn 35%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Über 2.5 42% · Current selection Unter