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COL Kolumbien - Primera A · Spiel ·

Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogotá

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–12.84 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg59%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 59% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg59% selection probability
Projected score2–1Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogotá
Expected goals2.84Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
59% / 25% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg59%1.69
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Internacional de Bogotá win (16.8%)Doppelte Chance1X83.2%1.20
Über 54% · Unter 46%Goals 2.5Über54%1.85
Ja 46% · Nein 54%Beide Teams treffenNein54%1.85
2.84 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
9.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Deportes Tolima win59%1.69
Unentschieden25%4.00
Internacional de Bogotá win17%5.88

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Deportes Tolima2.12

Heim share of expected goals 74.6%

Total expected goals2.84Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 54% · Unter 46%

Internacional de Bogotá0.72

Auswärts share of expected goals 25.4%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nein 54%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Deportes Tolima

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Internacional de Bogotá

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn0Losses4Punkte3

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
59%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
3
2.12
Expected goals
0.72
Deportes TolimaInternacional de Bogotá
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Deportes Tolima signalHeim matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Internacional de Bogotá signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk41% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Deportes Tolima vs Internacional de Bogotá FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 59% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Deportes Tolima Gewinn 59%,Unentschieden 25%,Internacional de Bogotá Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.84 · Über 2.5 54% · Current selection Über