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CHL Chile - Segunda División · Final ·

Santiago Morning vs Deportes Colina

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–1Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg44%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg28%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 44% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg44% selection probability
Projected score1–1Santiago MorningDeportes Colina
Expected goals2.09Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter65% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
44% / 28% / 28%SpielergebnisHeimsieg44%2.27
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (28%)Doppelte Chance1272%1.39
Über 35% · Unter 65%Goals 2.5Unter65%1.54
Ja 42% · Nein 58%Beide Teams treffenNein58%1.72
2.09 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.5%Largest probability gapSantiago Morning winDifference-0.8 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Santiago Morning win44%2.272.0044.8%-0.8 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp
Deportes Colina win28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Santiago Morning0.96

Heim share of expected goals 45.9%

Total expected goals2.09Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 35% · Unter 65%

Deportes Colina1.13

Auswärts share of expected goals 54.1%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 42% · Nein 58%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Santiago Morning

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Deportes Colina

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
44%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
28%
2
Points from supplied form
4
0.96
Expected goals
1.13
Santiago MorningDeportes Colina
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Santiago Morning signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Deportes Colina signalAuswärts matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk56% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Santiago Morning vs Deportes Colina FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 44% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Santiago Morning Gewinn 44%,Unentschieden 28%,Deportes Colina Gewinn 28%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.09 · Über 2.5 35% · Current selection Unter