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INT Peru Liga 1 · Spiel ·

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.57 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden29%
Auswärtssieg33%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score1–1Comerciantes UnidosCusco FC
Expected goals2.57Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Unter53% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa52% for the selected side
Expected corners8.1Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 29% / 33%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (29.1%)Doppelte Chance1270.9%1.41
Über 47% · Unter 53%Goals 2.5Unter53%1.89
Ja 52% · Nein 48%Beide Teams treffenJa52%1.92
2.57 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.1 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin6.8%Largest probability gapCusco FC winDifference+0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Comerciantes Unidos win38%2.632.4538.2%-0.2 pp
Unentschieden29%3.453.2029.3%-0.3 pp
Cusco FC win33%3.032.8832.5%+0.5 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Comerciantes Unidos1.38

Heim share of expected goals 53.7%

Total expected goals2.57Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 47% · Unter 53%

Cusco FC1.19

Auswärts share of expected goals 46.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 52% · Nein 48%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Comerciantes Unidos

0.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn3Losses2Punkte3

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Cusco FC

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
33%
3
Points from supplied form
9
1.38
Expected goals
1.19
Comerciantes UnidosCusco FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Comerciantes Unidos signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cusco FC signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 29%.

Match questions

Comerciantes Unidos vs Cusco FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Comerciantes Unidos Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 29%,Cusco FC Gewinn 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.57 · Über 2.5 47% · Current selection Unter