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KOR Südkorea - K-League 2 · Round 17 ·

Seongnam FC vs Cheonan City

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden30%
Auswärtssieg24%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 46% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score1–1Seongnam FCCheonan City
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter60% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein57% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 30% / 24%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cheonan City win (24.2%)Doppelte Chance1X75.8%1.32
Über 40% · Unter 60%Goals 2.5Unter60%1.67
Ja 43% · Nein 57%Beide Teams treffenNein57%1.75
2.28 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
8.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Seongnam FC win46%2.17
Unentschieden30%3.33
Cheonan City win24%4.17

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Seongnam FC1.47

Heim share of expected goals 64.5%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 40% · Unter 60%

Cheonan City0.81

Auswärts share of expected goals 35.5%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 43% · Nein 57%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Seongnam FC

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Cheonan City

0.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Punkte1

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
24%
4
Points from supplied form
1
1.47
Expected goals
0.81
Seongnam FCCheonan City
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Seongnam FC signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cheonan City signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 30%.

Match questions

Seongnam FC vs Cheonan City FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Seongnam FC Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 30%,Cheonan City Gewinn 24%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Über 2.5 40% · Current selection Unter