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ITA Italien - Coppa Italia · Final ·

Sassuolo vs Cesena

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score3–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg65%
Unentschieden20%
Auswärtssieg15%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 65% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg65% selection probability
Projected score2–1SassuoloCesena
Expected goals2.72Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über51% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein51% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
65% / 20% / 15%SpielergebnisHeimsieg65%1.54
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Cesena win (15%)Doppelte Chance1X85%1.18
Über 51% · Unter 49%Goals 2.5Über51%1.96
Ja 49% · Nein 51%Beide Teams treffenNein51%1.96
2.72 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin6.9%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sassuolo win65%1.541.4265.9%
Unentschieden20%5.004.7519.7%
Cesena win15%6.676.5014.4%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sassuolo1.87

Heim share of expected goals 68.8%

Total expected goals2.72Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 51% · Unter 49%

Cesena0.85

Auswärts share of expected goals 31.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 49% · Nein 51%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Sassuolo

0.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Punkte4

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Cesena

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
65%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
15%
4
Points from supplied form
10
1.87
Expected goals
0.85
SassuoloCesena
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sassuolo signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Cesena signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk35% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 20%.

Match questions

Sassuolo vs Cesena FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 65% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sassuolo Gewinn 65%,Unentschieden 20%,Cesena Gewinn 15%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.72 · Über 2.5 51% · Current selection Über