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ARG Argentinien - Primera C Metropolitana · Final ·

Centro Español vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score2–0Prognose 1–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg36%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg32%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 36% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg36% selection probability
Projected score1–1Centro EspañolEstrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Expected goals2.34Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter59% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein52% for the selected side
Expected corners7.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
36% / 31% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg36%2.78
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31.1%)Doppelte Chance1268.9%1.45
Über 41% · Unter 59%Goals 2.5Unter59%1.69
Ja 48% · Nein 52%Beide Teams treffenNein52%1.92
2.34 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
7.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapCentro Español winDifference-0.7 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Centro Español win36%2.782.4536.7%-0.7 pp
Unentschieden31%3.232.8831.2%-0.2 pp
Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn win32%3.132.8032.1%-0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Centro Español1.14

Heim share of expected goals 48.7%

Total expected goals2.34Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 41% · Unter 59%

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn1.20

Auswärts share of expected goals 51.3%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 48% · Nein 52%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Centro Español

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim failed to score: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
36%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
5
Points from supplied form
10
1.14
Expected goals
1.20
Centro EspañolEstrella del Sur Alejandro Korn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Centro Español signalHeim matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn signalHeim failed to score: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk64% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Centro Español vs Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 36% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Centro Español Gewinn 36%,Unentschieden 31%,Estrella del Sur Alejandro Korn Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.34 · Über 2.5 41% · Current selection Unter