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EUR Europe Friendlies · Spiel ·

Teruel vs Castellon B

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–13.27 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg46%
Unentschieden23%
Auswärtssieg32%
Baseline forecastHeimsiegTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg46% selection probability
Projected score2–1TeruelCastellon B
Expected goals3.27Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über63% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa64% for the selected side
Expected corners8.3Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
46% / 23% / 32%SpielergebnisHeimsieg46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.8%)Doppelte Chance1277.2%1.30
Über 63% · Unter 37%Goals 2.5Über63%1.59
Ja 64% · Nein 36%Beide Teams treffenJa64%1.56
3.27 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
8.3 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Teruel win46%2.17
Unentschieden23%4.35
Castellon B win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Teruel1.80

Heim share of expected goals 55%

Total expected goals3.27Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 63% · Unter 37%

Castellon B1.47

Auswärts share of expected goals 45%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 64% · Nein 36%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Teruel

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Castellon B

1.50pts / match
Gespielt2Wins1Drawn0Losses1Punkte3

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
32%
9
Points from supplied form
3
1.80
Expected goals
1.47
TeruelCastellon B
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Teruel signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Castellon B signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 23%.

Match questions

Teruel vs Castellon B FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Teruel Gewinn 46%,Unentschieden 23%,Castellon B Gewinn 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.27 · Über 2.5 63% · Current selection Über