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CRI Costa Rica - Primera Division · Spiel ·

Cartagines vs Sporting San Jose

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–11.75 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg47%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg25%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 47% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg47% selection probability
Projected score1–1CartaginesSporting San Jose
Expected goals1.75Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter75% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein69% for the selected side
Expected corners9.7Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
47% / 28% / 25%SpielergebnisHeimsieg47%2.13
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Sporting San Jose win (24.7%)Doppelte Chance1X75.3%1.33
Über 25% · Unter 75%Goals 2.5Unter75%1.33
Ja 31% · Nein 69%Beide Teams treffenNein69%1.45
1.75 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–1
9.7 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin9.8%Largest probability gapCartagines winDifference+0.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Cartagines win47%2.131.9546.7%+0.3 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.2528%0.0 pp
Sporting San Jose win25%4.003.6025.3%-0.3 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Cartagines1.16

Heim share of expected goals 66.3%

Total expected goals1.75Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 25% · Unter 75%

Sporting San Jose0.59

Auswärts share of expected goals 33.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 31% · Nein 69%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Cartagines

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Sporting San Jose

1.20pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn3Losses1Punkte6

SignalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
47%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
25%
7
Points from supplied form
6
1.16
Expected goals
0.59
CartaginesSporting San Jose
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Cartagines signalHeim clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Sporting San Jose signalAuswärts unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk53% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Cartagines vs Sporting San Jose FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 1–1 · 47% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Cartagines Gewinn 47%,Unentschieden 28%,Sporting San Jose Gewinn 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.75 · Über 2.5 25% · Current selection Unter