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WAL Wales - Championship North · Spiel ·

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score3–14.27 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg63%
Unentschieden19%
Auswärtssieg17%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 63% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg63% selection probability
Projected score3–1CaerswsGresford Athletic
Expected goals4.27Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über80% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners9.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
63% / 19% / 17%SpielergebnisHeimsieg63%1.59
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Gresford Athletic win (17.4%)Doppelte Chance1X82.6%1.21
Über 80% · Unter 20%Goals 2.5Über80%1.25
Ja 66% · Nein 34%Beide Teams treffenJa66%1.52
4.27 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis3–1
9.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.2%Largest probability gapCaersws winDifference+1.0 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Caersws win63%1.591.4562%+1.0 pp
Unentschieden19%5.264.5020%-1.0 pp
Gresford Athletic win17%5.885.0018%-1.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Caersws3.08

Heim share of expected goals 72.1%

Total expected goals4.27Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 80% · Unter 20%

Gresford Athletic1.19

Auswärts share of expected goals 27.9%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nein 34%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Caersws

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Gresford Athletic

0.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn0Losses5Punkte0

SignalHeim won 2/3 recent home matches

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
63%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
17%
7
Points from supplied form
0
3.08
Expected goals
1.19
CaerswsGresford Athletic
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Caersws signalHeim matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gresford Athletic signalHeim won 2/3 recent home matches

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk37% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 19%.

Match questions

Caersws vs Gresford Athletic FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 3–1 · 63% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Caersws Gewinn 63%,Unentschieden 19%,Gresford Athletic Gewinn 17%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.27 · Über 2.5 80% · Current selection Über