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INT Australien - NPL Queensland · Spiel ·

Brisbane City vs Gold Coast United

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score2–23.62 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg45%
Unentschieden25%
Auswärtssieg30%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 45% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg45% selection probability
Projected score2–2Brisbane CityGold Coast United
Expected goals3.62Eröffnung match profile
Goals 2.5Über70% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa69% for the selected side
Expected corners10.4Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
45% / 25% / 30%SpielergebnisHeimsieg45%2.22
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.1%)Doppelte Chance1274.9%1.34
Über 70% · Unter 30%Goals 2.5Über70%1.43
Ja 69% · Nein 31%Beide Teams treffenJa69%1.45
3.62 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–2
10.4 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nein snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFaire Quote
Brisbane City win45%2.22
Unentschieden25%4.00
Gold Coast United win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Brisbane City2.11

Heim share of expected goals 58.3%

Total expected goals3.62Eröffnung

Dedicated goals model: Über 70% · Unter 30%

Gold Coast United1.51

Auswärts share of expected goals 41.7%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 69% · Nein 31%Match profileEröffnung
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Brisbane City

1.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn2Losses1Punkte8

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Gold Coast United

1.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins2Drawn1Losses2Punkte7

SignalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
45%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
30%
8
Points from supplied form
7
2.11
Expected goals
1.51
Brisbane CityGold Coast United
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Brisbane City signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Gold Coast United signalHeim matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk55% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 25%.

Match questions

Brisbane City vs Gold Coast United FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–2 · 45% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Brisbane City Gewinn 45%,Unentschieden 25%,Gold Coast United Gewinn 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.62 · Über 2.5 70% · Current selection Über