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CAL Indien - Calcutta Football League · Spiel ·

Mohun Bagan SG II vs Bhawanipore FC

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score0–11.22 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg38%
Unentschieden31%
Auswärtssieg31%
Full model forecastHeimsiegTier A · 38% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg38% selection probability
Projected score0–1Mohun Bagan SG IIBhawanipore FC
Expected goals1.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter87% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein83% for the selected side
Expected corners9.8Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
38% / 31% / 31%SpielergebnisHeimsieg38%2.63
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Bhawanipore FC win (30.6%)Doppelte Chance1X69.4%1.44
Über 13% · Unter 87%Goals 2.5Unter87%1.15
Ja 17% · Nein 83%Beide Teams treffenNein83%1.20
1.22 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis0–1
9.8 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin15.4%Largest probability gapMohun Bagan SG II winDifference-3.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Mohun Bagan SG II win38%2.632.1041.3%-3.3 pp
Unentschieden31%3.232.9029.9%+1.1 pp
Bhawanipore FC win31%3.233.0028.9%+2.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Mohun Bagan SG II0.33

Heim share of expected goals 27%

Total expected goals1.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 13% · Unter 87%

Bhawanipore FC0.89

Auswärts share of expected goals 73%

Projected score0–1BTTS splitJa 17% · Nein 83%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Mohun Bagan SG II

2.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Punkte10

SignalHeim unbeaten 4/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Bhawanipore FC

2.60pts / match
Gespielt5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Punkte13

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
38%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
31%
10
Points from supplied form
13
0.33
Expected goals
0.89
Mohun Bagan SG IIBhawanipore FC
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Mohun Bagan SG II signalHeim unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Bhawanipore FC signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk62% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

Mohun Bagan SG II vs Bhawanipore FC FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 0–1 · 38% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Mohun Bagan SG II Gewinn 38%,Unentschieden 31%,Bhawanipore FC Gewinn 31%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.22 · Über 2.5 13% · Current selection Unter