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INT Argentinien - Liga Profesional - Reserve · Spiel ·

Barracas Central - Reserve vs Velez Sarsfield - Reserve

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Heim form
Projected score1–22.22 expected goals
Auswärts form
Heimsieg18%
Unentschieden28%
Auswärtssieg55%
Full model forecastAuswärtssiegTier A · 55% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callAuswärtssieg55% selection probability
Projected score1–2Barracas Central - ReserveVelez Sarsfield - Reserve
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Unter62% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenNein63% for the selected side
Expected corners8.5Unter 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
18% / 28% / 55%SpielergebnisAuswärtssieg55%1.82
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Barracas Central - Reserve win (17.6%)Doppelte ChanceX282.4%1.21
Über 38% · Unter 62%Goals 2.5Unter62%1.61
Ja 37% · Nein 63%Beide Teams treffenNein63%1.59
2.22 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis1–2
8.5 expected match cornersEckenUnter 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapVelez Sarsfield - Reserve winDifference+1.1 pp
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Barracas Central - Reserve win18%5.565.0018%0.0 pp
Unentschieden28%3.573.2028.1%-0.1 pp
Velez Sarsfield - Reserve win55%1.821.6753.9%+1.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Barracas Central - Reserve0.60

Heim share of expected goals 27%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Über 38% · Unter 62%

Velez Sarsfield - Reserve1.62

Auswärts share of expected goals 73%

Projected score1–2BTTS splitJa 37% · Nein 63%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Barracas Central - Reserve

0.40pts / match
Gespielt5Wins0Drawn2Losses3Punkte2

SignalHeim failed to score: 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Velez Sarsfield - Reserve

1.00pts / match
Gespielt5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Punkte5

SignalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
18%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
55%
2
Points from supplied form
5
0.60
Expected goals
1.62
Barracas Central - ReserveVelez Sarsfield - Reserve
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Barracas Central - Reserve signalHeim failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Velez Sarsfield - Reserve signalAuswärts matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk45% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 28%.

Match questions

Barracas Central - Reserve vs Velez Sarsfield - Reserve FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Auswärtssieg · Projected score 1–2 · 55% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Barracas Central - Reserve Gewinn 18%,Unentschieden 28%,Velez Sarsfield - Reserve Gewinn 55%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Über 2.5 38% · Current selection Unter