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POL Poland I Liga · Final ·

Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza Niepolomice

Prediction review

Heim form
Final score3–0Prognose 2–1
Auswärts form
Heimsieg48%
Unentschieden27%
Auswärtssieg25%
Market-based forecastHeimsiegTier B · 48% selection probability
Prediction Gewonnen
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHeimsieg48% selection probability
Projected score2–1Arka GdyniaPuszcza Niepolomice
Expected goals2.87Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Über54% for the selected side
Beide Teams treffenJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Über 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketAuswahlWahrscheinlichkeitFaire Quote
48% / 27% / 25%SpielergebnisHeimsieg48%2.08
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Puszcza Niepolomice win (24.6%)Doppelte Chance1X75.4%1.33
Über 54% · Unter 46%Goals 2.5Über54%1.85
Ja 59% · Nein 41%Beide Teams treffenJa59%1.69
2.87 total expected goalsGenaues Ergebnis2–1
10.0 expected match cornersEckenÜber 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.3%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimKeine
OutcomePrognoseFaire QuoteReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Arka Gdynia win48%2.081.8349.1%
Unentschieden27%3.703.3027.2%
Puszcza Niepolomice win25%4.003.8023.7%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Arka Gdynia1.66

Heim share of expected goals 57.8%

Total expected goals2.87Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Über 54% · Unter 46%

Puszcza Niepolomice1.21

Auswärts share of expected goals 42.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nein 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Heim-context · form sequence

Arka Gdynia

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim won 3/5

Auswärts-context · form sequence

Puszcza Niepolomice

1.80pts / match
Gespielt5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Punkte9

SignalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
48%
Gewinn probability excluding draw
25%
9
Points from supplied form
9
1.66
Expected goals
1.21
Arka GdyniaPuszcza Niepolomice
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Arka Gdynia signalHeim won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Puszcza Niepolomice signalHeim clean sheets: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk52% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Unentschieden probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

Arka Gdynia vs Puszcza Niepolomice FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Heimsieg · Projected score 2–1 · 48% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Arka Gdynia Gewinn 48%,Unentschieden 27%,Puszcza Niepolomice Gewinn 25%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.87 · Über 2.5 54% · Current selection Über