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SWE Sverige - 2. div. Södra Götaland · Final ·

Sölvesborgs GoIF vs IFK Karlshamn

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score2–1Prognose 3–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr61%
Uafgjort21%
Udesejr19%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 61% selection probability
Prediction Vundet
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr61% selection probability
Projected score3–1Sölvesborgs GoIFIFK Karlshamn
Expected goals4.04Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over77% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners11.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
61% / 21% / 19%KampresultatHjemmesejr61%1.64
Derived from 1X2 · excludes IFK Karlshamn win (18.7%)Dobbeltchance1X81.3%1.23
Over 77% · Under 23%Goals 2.5Over77%1.30
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Begge hold scorerJa59%1.69
4.04 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat3–1
11.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.4%Largest probability gapSölvesborgs GoIF winDifference+2.3 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Sölvesborgs GoIF win61%1.641.5358.7%+2.3 pp
Uafgjort21%4.764.2021.4%-0.4 pp
IFK Karlshamn win19%5.264.5019.9%-0.9 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Sölvesborgs GoIF3.10

Hjemme share of expected goals 76.7%

Total expected goals4.04Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 77% · Under 23%

IFK Karlshamn0.94

Ude share of expected goals 23.3%

Projected score3–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Sölvesborgs GoIF

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

IFK Karlshamn

0.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins0Drawn1Losses4Point1

SignalUde matches over 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
61%
Vundet probability excluding draw
19%
4
Points from supplied form
1
3.10
Expected goals
0.94
Sölvesborgs GoIFIFK Karlshamn
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Sölvesborgs GoIF signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02IFK Karlshamn signalUde matches over 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk39% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 21%.

Match questions

Sölvesborgs GoIF vs IFK Karlshamn FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 3–1 · 61% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Sölvesborgs GoIF vundet 61%,Uafgjort 21%,IFK Karlshamn vundet 19%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 4.04 · Over 2.5 77% · Current selection Over