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ISL Island - 1. deild · Round 17 ·

Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Throttur Reykjavik

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–23.65 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr28%
Uafgjort22%
Udesejr50%
Full model forecastUdesejrTier A · 50% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr50% selection probability
Projected score2–2Grotta SeltjarnarnesThrottur Reykjavik
Expected goals3.65Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over71% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa70% for the selected side
Expected corners12.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
28% / 22% / 50%KampresultatUdesejr50%2.00
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (22.4%)Dobbeltchance1277.6%1.29
Over 71% · Under 29%Goals 2.5Over71%1.41
Ja 70% · Nej 30%Begge hold scorerJa70%1.43
3.65 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–2
12.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.3%Largest probability gapDrawDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Grotta Seltjarnarnes win28%3.573.2527.6%+0.4 pp
Uafgjort22%4.554.0022.5%-0.5 pp
Throttur Reykjavik win50%2.001.8049.9%+0.1 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Grotta Seltjarnarnes1.68

Hjemme share of expected goals 46%

Total expected goals3.65Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 71% · Under 29%

Throttur Reykjavik1.97

Ude share of expected goals 54%

Projected score2–2BTTS splitJa 70% · Nej 30%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Grotta Seltjarnarnes

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Throttur Reykjavik

2.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn1Losses1Point10

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
28%
Vundet probability excluding draw
50%
12
Points from supplied form
10
1.68
Expected goals
1.97
Grotta SeltjarnarnesThrottur Reykjavik
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Grotta Seltjarnarnes signalHjemme unbeaten 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Throttur Reykjavik signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk50% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 22%.

Match questions

Grotta Seltjarnarnes vs Throttur Reykjavik FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 2–2 · 50% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Grotta Seltjarnarnes vundet 28%,Uafgjort 22%,Throttur Reykjavik vundet 50%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 3.65 · Over 2.5 71% · Current selection Over