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NOR Norge - 3. division - Gruppe 1 · Kamp ·

Asker vs Valerenga 2

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score5–15.67 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr75%
Uafgjort13%
Udesejr12%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 75% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Model and market agree on HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr75% selection probability
Projected score5–1AskerValerenga 2
Expected goals5.67Åbn match profile
Goals 2.5Over92% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa66% for the selected side
Expected corners10.3Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
75% / 13% / 12%KampresultatHjemmesejr75%1.33
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Valerenga 2 win (11.7%)Dobbeltchance1X88.3%1.13
Over 92% · Under 8%Goals 2.5Over92%1.09
Ja 66% · Nej 34%Begge hold scorerJa66%1.52
5.67 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat5–1
10.3 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.6%Largest probability gapAsker winDifference+1.6 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Asker win75%1.331.2273.4%+1.6 pp
Uafgjort13%7.696.5013.8%-0.8 pp
Valerenga 2 win12%8.337.0012.8%-0.8 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Asker4.58

Hjemme share of expected goals 80.8%

Total expected goals5.67Åbn

Dedicated goals model: Over 92% · Under 8%

Valerenga 21.09

Ude share of expected goals 19.2%

Projected score5–1BTTS splitJa 66% · Nej 34%Match profileÅbn
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Asker

3.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Point15

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Valerenga 2

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
75%
Vundet probability excluding draw
12%
15
Points from supplied form
12
4.58
Expected goals
1.09
AskerValerenga 2
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Model and market agree on HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Asker signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Valerenga 2 signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk25% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 13%.

Match questions

Asker vs Valerenga 2 FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 5–1 · 75% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Asker vundet 75%,Uafgjort 13%,Valerenga 2 vundet 12%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 5.67 · Over 2.5 92% · Current selection Over