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HamKam vs Kristiansund BK

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.70 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr51%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr22%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 51% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr51% selection probability
Projected score2–1HamKamKristiansund BK
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej50% for the selected side
Expected corners10.5Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
51% / 27% / 22%KampresultatHjemmesejr51%1.96
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Kristiansund BK win (22.3%)Dobbeltchance1X77.7%1.29
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Ja 50% · Nej 50%Begge hold scorerNej50%2.00
2.70 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.5 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
HamKam win51%1.96
Uafgjort27%3.70
Kristiansund BK win22%4.55

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

HamKam1.81

Hjemme share of expected goals 67%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Kristiansund BK0.89

Ude share of expected goals 33%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 50% · Nej 50%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

HamKam

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Kristiansund BK

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
51%
Vundet probability excluding draw
22%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.81
Expected goals
0.89
HamKamKristiansund BK
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01HamKam signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Kristiansund BK signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk49% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

HamKam vs Kristiansund BK FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 51% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

HamKam vundet 51%,Uafgjort 27%,Kristiansund BK vundet 22%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over