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DNK Danmark - Superligaen · Kamp ·

FC Nordsjælland vs Brøndby

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.22 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr37%
Uafgjort31%
Udesejr32%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr37% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC NordsjællandBrøndby
Expected goals2.22Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under62% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
37% / 31% / 32%KampresultatHjemmesejr37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (31%)Dobbeltchance1269%1.45
Over 38% · Under 62%Goals 2.5Under62%1.61
Ja 45% · Nej 55%Begge hold scorerNej55%1.82
2.22 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
FC Nordsjælland win37%2.70
Uafgjort31%3.23
Brøndby win32%3.13

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Nordsjælland1.18

Hjemme share of expected goals 53.2%

Total expected goals2.22Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 38% · Under 62%

Brøndby1.04

Ude share of expected goals 46.8%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 45% · Nej 55%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Nordsjælland

3.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins5Drawn0Losses0Point15

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Brøndby

2.60pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn1Losses0Point13

SignalHjemme clean sheets: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vundet probability excluding draw
32%
15
Points from supplied form
13
1.18
Expected goals
1.04
FC NordsjællandBrøndby
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Nordsjælland signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Brøndby signalHjemme clean sheets: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 31%.

Match questions

FC Nordsjælland vs Brøndby FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Nordsjælland vundet 37%,Uafgjort 31%,Brøndby vundet 32%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.22 · Over 2.5 38% · Current selection Under