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ENG England - EFL Cup · Kamp ·

Colchester vs Southampton

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.70 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr37%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr37%
Baseline forecastUdesejrTier C · 37% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callUdesejr37% selection probability
Projected score1–1ColchesterSouthampton
Expected goals2.70Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over51% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa55% for the selected side
Expected corners10.0Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
37% / 26% / 37%KampresultatUdesejr37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.8%)Dobbeltchance1274.2%1.35
Over 51% · Under 49%Goals 2.5Over51%1.96
Ja 55% · Nej 45%Begge hold scorerJa55%1.82
2.70 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
10.0 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Colchester win37%2.70
Uafgjort26%3.85
Southampton win37%2.70

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Colchester1.34

Hjemme share of expected goals 49.6%

Total expected goals2.70Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 51% · Under 49%

Southampton1.36

Ude share of expected goals 50.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 55% · Nej 45%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Colchester

0.00pts / match
Spillet1Wins0Drawn0Losses1Point0

SignalUde unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Southampton

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalUde clean sheets: 2/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vundet probability excluding draw
37%
0
Points from supplied form
11
1.34
Expected goals
1.36
ColchesterSouthampton
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Colchester signalUde unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Southampton signalUde clean sheets: 2/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Colchester vs Southampton FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Udesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Colchester vundet 37%,Uafgjort 26%,Southampton vundet 37%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.70 · Over 2.5 51% · Current selection Over