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URY Uruguay Segunda · Final ·

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo

Prediction review

Hjemme form
Final score1–1Prognose 1–1
Ude form
Hjemmesejr39%
Uafgjort32%
Udesejr29%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 39% selection probability
Prediction Tabt
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr39% selection probability
Projected score1–1Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Expected goals1.98Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under68% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej61% for the selected side
Expected corners9.2Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
39% / 32% / 29%KampresultatHjemmesejr39%2.56
Derived from 1X2 · excludes Tacuarembo win (29.2%)Dobbeltchance1X70.8%1.41
Over 32% · Under 68%Goals 2.5Under68%1.47
Ja 39% · Nej 61%Begge hold scorerNej61%1.64
1.98 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Miramar Misiones win39%2.56
Uafgjort32%3.13
Tacuarembo win29%3.45

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Miramar Misiones1.12

Hjemme share of expected goals 56.6%

Total expected goals1.98Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 32% · Under 68%

Tacuarembo0.86

Ude share of expected goals 43.4%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 39% · Nej 61%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Miramar Misiones

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Tacuarembo

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalUde matches under 2.5: 5/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
39%
Vundet probability excluding draw
29%
4
Points from supplied form
4
1.12
Expected goals
0.86
Miramar MisionesTacuarembo
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Calibrated Dixon-Coles leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Miramar Misiones signalHjemme failed to score: 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Tacuarembo signalUde matches under 2.5: 5/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk61% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 32%.

Match questions

Miramar Misiones vs Tacuarembo FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 39% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Miramar Misiones vundet 39%,Uafgjort 32%,Tacuarembo vundet 29%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 1.98 · Over 2.5 32% · Current selection Under