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GEO Georgien - Erovnuli Liga · Round 19 ·

FC Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi

Full model forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score1–12.28 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr37%
Uafgjort27%
Udesejr36%
Full model forecastHjemmesejrTier A · 37% selection probability
Full model forecast · Tier A

Match prediction

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr37% selection probability
Projected score1–1FC RustaviTorpedo Kutaisi
Expected goals2.28Low-scoring match profile
Goals 2.5Under60% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerNej54% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
37% / 27% / 36%KampresultatHjemmesejr37%2.70
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (26.7%)Dobbeltchance1273.3%1.36
Over 40% · Under 60%Goals 2.5Under60%1.67
Ja 46% · Nej 54%Begge hold scorerNej54%1.85
2.28 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat1–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Published forecast vs reference market

Reference odds are converted to normalized probabilities. The gap is descriptive and is not a claim of guaranteed value.

Displayed margin11.1%Largest probability gapFC Rustavi winDifference-0.5 pp
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
FC Rustavi win37%2.702.4037.5%-0.5 pp
Uafgjort27%3.703.4026.5%+0.5 pp
Torpedo Kutaisi win36%2.782.5036%0.0 pp

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

FC Rustavi1.01

Hjemme share of expected goals 44.3%

Total expected goals2.28Low-scoring

Dedicated goals model: Over 40% · Under 60%

Torpedo Kutaisi1.27

Ude share of expected goals 55.7%

Projected score1–1BTTS splitJa 46% · Nej 54%Match profileLow-scoring
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

FC Rustavi

1.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn0Losses2Point9

SignalHjemme won 3/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Torpedo Kutaisi

0.80pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn1Losses3Point4

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
37%
Vundet probability excluding draw
36%
9
Points from supplied form
4
1.01
Expected goals
1.27
FC RustaviTorpedo Kutaisi
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-aware blend leans HOME; raw model leaned AWAY

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01FC Rustavi signalHjemme won 3/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Torpedo Kutaisi signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk63% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 27%.

Match questions

FC Rustavi vs Torpedo Kutaisi FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 1–1 · 37% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

FC Rustavi vundet 37%,Uafgjort 27%,Torpedo Kutaisi vundet 36%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.28 · Over 2.5 40% · Current selection Under