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SWE Sweden Elitettan · Kamp ·

Elfsborg (K) vs KIF Örebro (K)

Baseline forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.94 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr46%
Uafgjort24%
Udesejr30%
Baseline forecastHjemmesejrTier C · 46% selection probability
Baseline forecast · Tier C

Match prediction

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast probabilities, fair prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr46% selection probability
Projected score2–1Elfsborg (K)KIF Örebro (K)
Expected goals2.94Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over56% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa59% for the selected side
Expected corners10.2Over 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
46% / 24% / 30%KampresultatHjemmesejr46%2.17
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (24.2%)Dobbeltchance1275.8%1.32
Over 56% · Under 44%Goals 2.5Over56%1.79
Ja 59% · Nej 41%Begge hold scorerJa59%1.69
2.94 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
10.2 expected match cornersHjørnesparkOver 9.5
Probability view

Forecast probabilities and fair odds

Nej snapshot-bound 1X2 price was available for this forecast, so this page does not show a market comparison or probability-gap claim.

OutcomeForecast probabilityFair odds
Elfsborg (K) win46%2.17
Uafgjort24%4.17
KIF Örebro (K) win30%3.33

Fair odds are calculated directly from the published forecast probabilities and are not bookmaker prices.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Elfsborg (K)1.64

Hjemme share of expected goals 55.8%

Total expected goals2.94Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 56% · Under 44%

KIF Örebro (K)1.30

Ude share of expected goals 44.2%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 59% · Nej 41%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Elfsborg (K)

2.20pts / match
Spillet5Wins3Drawn2Losses0Point11

SignalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

Ude-context · form sequence

KIF Örebro (K)

2.40pts / match
Spillet5Wins4Drawn0Losses1Point12

SignalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
46%
Vundet probability excluding draw
30%
11
Points from supplied form
12
1.64
Expected goals
1.30
Elfsborg (K)KIF Örebro (K)
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Low-confidence goal-prior fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Elfsborg (K) signalHjemme unbeaten 5/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02KIF Örebro (K) signalHjemme matches over 2.5: 3/5

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk54% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 24%.

Match questions

Elfsborg (K) vs KIF Örebro (K) FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 46% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Elfsborg (K) vundet 46%,Uafgjort 24%,KIF Örebro (K) vundet 30%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.94 · Over 2.5 56% · Current selection Over