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NIR Nordirland - IFA Championship · Round 1 ·

Dundela vs Moyola Park

Market-based forecast,stats and analysis

Hjemme form
Projected score2–12.89 expected goals
Ude form
Hjemmesejr41%
Uafgjort26%
Udesejr33%
Market-based forecastHjemmesejrTier B · 41% selection probability
Market-based forecast · Tier B

Match prediction

Market-led fallback leans HOME Compare the forecast, reference prices, form and key match signals below.

Primary callHjemmesejr41% selection probability
Projected score2–1DundelaMoyola Park
Expected goals2.89Balanced match profile
Goals 2.5Over55% for the selected side
Begge hold scorerJa58% for the selected side
Expected corners9.1Under 9.5
Market dashboard

Every available prediction

Each row shows the selection and probability for that market. Correct-score and corner projections do not include standalone probabilities.

MarketValgSandsynlighedFair odds
41% / 26% / 33%KampresultatHjemmesejr41%2.44
Derived from 1X2 · excludes draw (25.6%)Dobbeltchance1274.4%1.34
Over 55% · Under 45%Goals 2.5Over55%1.82
Ja 58% · Nej 42%Begge hold scorerJa58%1.72
2.89 total expected goalsKorrekt resultat2–1
9.1 expected match cornersHjørnesparkUnder 9.5
Price comparison

Reference market used for this forecast

This market-based forecast is aligned to the normalized pre-match 1X2 reference. The comparison is contextual and makes no betting-edge claim.

Displayed margin11.1%Forecast sourceMarket-basedEdge claimIngen
OutcomePrognoseFair oddsReference oddsNormalized marketDifference
Dundela win41%2.442.2040.9%
Uafgjort26%3.853.5025.7%
Moyola Park win33%3.032.7033.3%

Reference odds are the pre-match prices stored with this forecast; later market movements do not change the original review.

Scoring projection

Expected-goals split

Expected goals show how the projected scoring total is divided between the two teams.

Dundela1.56

Hjemme share of expected goals 54%

Total expected goals2.89Balanced

Dedicated goals model: Over 55% · Under 45%

Moyola Park1.33

Ude share of expected goals 46%

Projected score2–1BTTS splitJa 58% · Nej 42%Match profileBalanced
Recent form

Five-result form summary

The five displayed results are summarized into wins, draws, losses and points for a quick comparison.

Hjemme-context · form sequence

Dundela

1.00pts / match
Spillet5Wins1Drawn2Losses2Point5

SignalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

Ude-context · form sequence

Moyola Park

0.00pts / match
Spillet0Wins0Drawn0Losses0Point0

SignalNej recent signal

Side-by-side

Matchup comparison

Current match outlook
41%
Vundet probability excluding draw
33%
5
Points from supplied form
0
1.56
Expected goals
1.33
DundelaMoyola Park
Signals and risk

What supports — and challenges — the call

Signals are kept separate from derived risk checks so the page never turns one trend into certainty.

Match signal

Market-led fallback leans HOME

This is the main matchup observation to consider alongside the probabilities and recent form.

01Dundela signalHjemme matches under 2.5: 4/5

This trend belongs to the home team and should be read alongside the probability table.

02Moyola Park signalNej recent signal

This trend belongs to the away team and does not override the independent market probabilities.

!Primary-call risk59% outside the selected call

The selected outcome can still fail. Uafgjort probability alone is 26%.

Match questions

Dundela vs Moyola Park FAQ

What is the current prediction?

Current prediction: Hjemmesejr · Projected score 2–1 · 41% selection probability.

What are the 1X2 probabilities?

Dundela vundet 41%,Uafgjort 26%,Moyola Park vundet 33%。

Is this expected to be a high-scoring match?

Total expected goals 2.89 · Over 2.5 55% · Current selection Over